Forcing Mechanisms Behind Rapid Late Cenozoic Climate Shifts

Multi-component attribution of climate forcing over the past 10 million years

Summary Metrics

Total Cooling8.71 C
Mean Temperature13.98 C
Temperature Std Dev3.19 C
Cooling Events Detected15
Dominant Period102.4 kyr
Model R-squared0.9968

Variance Decomposition

Forcing-Temperature Correlation

Epoch Temperature Analysis

Late Miocene
16.81 C
Pliocene
13.41 C
Early Pleistocene
9.70 C
Middle Pleistocene
8.86 C
Late Pleistocene
8.81 C

Bayesian Attribution Weights

Top Rapid Cooling Events

Onset (Ma)Duration (kyr)Magnitude (K)Rate (K/Myr)
6.9655.01.3935.12
1.8774.01.3332.22
6.8554.01.2641.15
2.4664.01.2230.78
2.9655.01.1832.65