Causal Effect of LLMs on Labor-Market Outcomes
Simulation-based comparison of causal identification strategies
Frank et al. (arXiv: 2601.02554)
200 Monte Carlo Simulations
5 Estimators
Key Findings
0.0246
Lowest Bias (Synth. Control)
0.995
Best Coverage (Synth. Control)
0.0508
OLS Bias (Employment)
200
Monte Carlo Replications
Estimator Bias by Outcome
Outcome:
Employment
Log Wages
Search Duration
95% CI Coverage
Statistical Power
Confounding Sensitivity
Full Results