State-Level Unemployment Risk Attribution
Separating LLM diffusion from macroeconomic factors in CA, WA, and AK
Frank et al. (arXiv: 2601.02554)
200 Simulations
Bartik + SynDiD
Key Findings
90.1%
LLM Attribution Fraction
0.0259
SynDiD ATT (true: 0.025)
0.033
Placebo p-value
69.0%
Power at True Effect
Decomposition
SynDiD Gap
Power Curve