Relationship Between Traumatic Brain Injury and CJD

Statistical and mechanistic analysis of the TBI-CJD association

Key Findings

Population simulated100,000
CJD incidence1.5 per million/yr
Literature TBI-CJD cases23
P(coincidence)0.382
P(causal)0.316
P(detection bias)0.302
Min cohort for 80% power>500,000

Bayesian Model Comparison

Power Analysis by Risk Ratio

CJD Rate by TBI Severity